That Was the Week That Was - 21st March 2025
Week Ending 21st March 2025
Introduction
As spring begins to make its hesitant appearance, the world of geopolitics remains as unpredictable as ever. This past week has seen diplomatic manoeuvring, economic muscle-flexing, and military posturing, all against a backdrop of shifting alliances and emerging threats. Let's delve into the key events shaping global affairs, with the usual dose of British pragmatism and a wry smile where warranted.
Top Geopolitical & Defence Events of the Week
- Ukraine Secures Further Western Military Support
European leaders reaffirmed their commitment to Ukraine’s defence, with additional military aid packages announced. The UK and Germany pledged further air defence systems, while the US Senate passed a $10 billion aid bill aimed at sustaining Ukraine’s war effort against Russian aggression.
- China Brokers Middle East Diplomacy
In an unexpected diplomatic play, China hosted talks between Iran and Saudi Arabia, seeking to cement last year’s fragile reconciliation. Beijing’s increasing role in the region signals its intent to challenge Western influence in Middle Eastern geopolitics.
- UK Defence Budget Receives a Boost
Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced a £5 billion increase in defence spending, focusing on cyber capabilities, naval expansion, and AI-driven warfare technologies. This move is seen as a response to growing security threats from Russia and China.
- Escalation in the Taiwan Strait
Tensions flared as China conducted large-scale naval exercises near Taiwan, prompting a strong response from the US and Japan. The region remains a geopolitical flashpoint, with both sides refusing to back down.
- Russia Expands Arctic Military Presence
Satellite images confirmed Russia’s expansion of military installations in the Arctic, including new airbases and missile deployments. This signals Moscow’s intent to dominate emerging Arctic trade routes as ice caps recede.
How These Events Connect (or Don’t)
This week’s developments reflect a world in transition, with major powers jostling for strategic advantage. The UK’s increased defence budget aligns with NATO’s broader military strengthening, while China’s diplomatic foray into the Middle East underscores its global ambitions beyond economic dominance. Meanwhile, Russia’s Arctic expansion and Chinese military drills near Taiwan highlight the growing risk of regional conflicts spilling into broader confrontations. As ever, alliances are shifting, and the geopolitical chessboard remains in constant motion.
Predictions for the Month Ahead
- Increased Military Posturing in the Pacific: Expect further naval movements and joint exercises from both China and Western allies as tensions over Taiwan persist.
- Ukraine’s Spring Offensive: With fresh Western aid secured, Ukraine may attempt a renewed counteroffensive, testing Russia’s defensive lines in key strategic regions.
- Economic Retaliation from Russia: In response to continued Western sanctions, Russia may implement countermeasures affecting global energy markets.
- Cybersecurity Threats on the Rise: Given the UK’s new cyber investment, we may see increased global cyber skirmishes, with state-sponsored hacking operations targeting critical infrastructure.
Fun Fact of the Week
Amidst the serious matters of global security, nature provided a reminder of its own power—scientists confirmed the discovery of an ancient supervolcano beneath the Arctic seabed. While currently dormant, its potential for future activity adds another layer of unpredictability to an already complex world.
As always, we navigate these uncertain times with a keen eye on the horizon, a steady hand, and perhaps a cup of strong tea to steady the nerves.
End of Newsletter